Market Conditions

The 17 Market Conditions We Analyze

Every TradeOdds forecast matches the current day against history using these 17 quantitative conditions. Each one is bucketed numerically — not judged visually — so "similar" means measurably similar.

Macro / Market Conditions

Market Trend

SPY position relative to key moving averages

VIX Level

CBOE Volatility Index current reading

VIX Move

Daily VIX percentage change

Month of Year

Calendar month seasonality

Macro Risk

Global risk state from yield curve and economic indicators

Asset-Specific Conditions

Price Move

Daily close-to-close percentage return

Move Intensity

Price move normalized by 14-day ATR

Relative Volume

Today's volume vs. 20-day average

RSI Zone

14-period RSI momentum classification

RSI Slope

3-day directional slope of RSI

Trend Structure

Price alignment with 9-day and 21-day EMA

Overnight Gap

Gap between today's open and yesterday's close

Analyst Trend

Net analyst sentiment over last 5 days

Earnings Performance

Latest earnings result vs. estimates

Earnings Proximity

Days until next earnings report

Price Streak

Consecutive up or down closing days

Volume Streak

Consecutive days above/below average volume

For exact bucket definitions and methodology, see the full glossary, or run a free analysis to toggle these factors live.