Macro Condition 1 of 17 market conditions

Month of Year

Calendar month seasonality

What Month of Year Measures

Calendar month of the trading day. Seasonality effects are well-documented in financial markets — January effect, "sell in May," October volatility spikes, Santa Claus rally. This condition lets you filter historical matches by the same time of year.

Buckets

TradeOdds classifies each trading day into one of these buckets for Month of Year. When you run an analysis, matching days must fall in the same bucket (or adjacent buckets if tolerance is set above 0).

January February March April May June July August September October November December

How It's Calculated

The calendar month of each trading day. No calculation required — purely temporal.

How to Use Month of Year in TradeOdds

When you run an analysis on TradeOdds, Month of Year is one of 17 conditions that can be active. If Month of Year is toggled on, only historical days where Month of Year was in the same bucket as today are included in the match.

For example, if today's Month of Year reading puts it in the "January" bucket, TradeOdds finds all historical days for that stock where Month of Year was also classified as "January" — then shows you what happened next.

Adding more conditions narrows the match (fewer but more specific historical days). Removing conditions widens the match (more historical days but less specific). The right balance depends on whether you want statistical significance (more matches) or precision (fewer but more similar matches).

See Month of Year in Action

Run a free analysis on any stock and see how Month of Year affects the historical base rate.

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