Earnings Performance
Latest earnings result vs. estimates
What Earnings Performance Measures
How the company performed on its most recent earnings report. A "Double Beat" (beating both EPS and revenue estimates) historically creates a different setup than a "Double Miss." This condition captures the fundamental backdrop behind the price action.
Buckets
TradeOdds classifies each trading day into one of these buckets for Earnings Performance. When you run an analysis, matching days must fall in the same bucket (or adjacent buckets if tolerance is set above 0).
How It's Calculated
Most recent quarterly earnings compared against consensus EPS and revenue estimates.
How to Use Earnings Performance in TradeOdds
When you run an analysis on TradeOdds, Earnings Performance is one of 17 conditions that can be active. If Earnings Performance is toggled on, only historical days where Earnings Performance was in the same bucket as today are included in the match.
For example, if today's Earnings Performance reading puts it in the "Double Beat" bucket, TradeOdds finds all historical days for that stock where Earnings Performance was also classified as "Double Beat" — then shows you what happened next.
Adding more conditions narrows the match (fewer but more specific historical days). Removing conditions widens the match (more historical days but less specific). The right balance depends on whether you want statistical significance (more matches) or precision (fewer but more similar matches).
See Earnings Performance in Action
Run a free analysis on any stock and see how Earnings Performance affects the historical base rate.
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All 17 Market Conditions
Market Trend
SPY position relative to key moving averages
VIX Level
CBOE Volatility Index current reading
VIX Move
Daily VIX percentage change
Month of Year
Calendar month seasonality
Macro Risk
Global risk state from yield curve and economic indicators
Price Move
Daily close-to-close percentage return
Move Intensity
Price move normalized by 14-day ATR
Relative Volume
Today's volume vs. 20-day average
RSI Zone
14-period RSI momentum classification
RSI Slope
3-day directional slope of RSI
Trend Structure
Price alignment with 9-day and 21-day EMA
Overnight Gap
Gap between today's open and yesterday's close
Analyst Trend
Net analyst sentiment over last 5 days
Earnings Proximity
Days until next earnings report
Price Streak
Consecutive up or down closing days
Volume Streak
Consecutive days above/below average volume